Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday


	Benevento		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	5	4	1.67
	4.8	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.95	1.71
	4.93	3.99	1.75
	5	3.8	1.7	Watch
	5.1	4.1	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↓ (5.41)	3.96 ↓ (4.18)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
19.7%

Draw
24.2%

Milan
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

22.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

13.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.1%	6.7%	83.1%

Benevento - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (148 of 178 users predict this - 83.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.65% – 88.65%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).

Benevento has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Milan has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (74%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Recent matches Benevento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Milan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
23.12.20	Udinese - Benevento	0:2 ✺
20.12.20	Benevento - Genoa	2:0 ✺
15.12.20	Benevento - Lazio	1:1 ✺
11.12.20	Sassuolo - Benevento	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Parma - Benevento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWTLT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
23.12.20	Milan - Lazio	3:2 ✺
20.12.20	Sassuolo - Milan	1:2 ✺
16.12.20	Genoa - Milan	2:2 ✺
13.12.20	Milan - Parma	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.12.20	Sparta Prague - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.04.18	Milan - Benevento	0:1
03.12.17	Benevento - Milan	2:2

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