Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)


	Birmingham Legion		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1	Watch
	1.66	4	4.33
	1.71	4.01	4.34
	1.65	3.84	4.25	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)	3.92 ↑ (3.46)	4.26 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
55.2%

Draw
23.4%

Monterey Bay
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham Legion's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Birmingham Legion - Monterey Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Spangenberg T. (G) 4. Smith C. 21. Crognale A. 13. Rufe J. 33. Nyarko M. 10. Kassim P. 19. Martinez E. (C) 7. Nwegbo D. 15. Pasher T. 28. Preston T. E. 9. Agudelo J.	21. Herrera C. (G) 3. Doner M. 4. Lara A. 33. Greene K. 2. Roberts H. (C) 11. Martinez W. 23. Gleadle S. 6. Murphy J. 20. Baca R. 15. Dixon A. 9. Okoli S.
Substitutes
16. Alves G. A. 11. Brett N. 23. Dupont G. 96. Freeman T. 3. Kavita P. 30. Torman S. (G)	31. Boone C. 19. Enriquez J. 24. Glasser M. 7. Rebollar A. 16. Siaha A. (G) 10. Volesky Ch. 5. Yoseke N.
Coaches
Soehn T.	Yallop F.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Monterey Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
30.09.23	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Miami	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Rio Grande Valley - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Birmingham Legion - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLW
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
30.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
23.09.23	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTLWW

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