Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	15:00	CBS, Flow Sports 1, Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Bologna		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.75
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.62	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.66	3.29	2.88
	2.63	3.32	2.83	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.62	3.57	2.79
	2.62	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.94)	3.32 ↓ (3.7)	2.8 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
36.9%

Draw
28.9%

Borussia Dortmund
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.9%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

26.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	15.8%	67.1%

Bologna - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 16.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 56.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 2. Holm E. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 8. Freuler R. 18. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Ndoye D. 9. Castro S.	1. Kobel G. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 16. Duranville J. 8. Nmecha F. 13. Gross P. 43. Gittens J. 14. Beier M. 7. Reyna G. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
23. Bagnolini N. (G) 15. Casale N. 24. Dallinga T. 5. Erlic M. 80. Fabbian G. 14. Iling Junior S. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 3. Posch S. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	27. Adeyemi K. 46. Azhil A. 10. Brandt J. 37. Campbell C. 23. Can E. 2. Couto Y. 42. Kabar A. 35. Lotka M. (G) 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 20. Sabitzer M. 38. Watjen K.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Holm E. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
20', Freuler R. 🟨,
35', Orsolini R. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Freuler R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
60', Lucumi J. 🟨,
62', Beier M. 🟨,
63', Lucumi J. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
64', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
64', Duranville J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
64', Reyna G. ↓, Can E. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽, Odgaard J. (A),
72', 2 - 1, Iling Junior S. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
75', Gross P. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
75', Guirassy S. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
81', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
82', Couto Y. 🟨,
86', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
90', Ryerson J. 🟨,
90+1', Ferguson L. 🟨,
90+5', Italiano V. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Bologna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia D is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Borussia D will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Yellow Cards) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
18.01.25	Bologna - Monza	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Bologna - Roma	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Bologna - Verona	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	Torino - Bologna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTLW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
17.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund	4:2 ✺
10.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:3 ✺
15.12.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.21	Borussia Dortmund - Bologna	3:0

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