Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV App
Argentina	Flow Eventos
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
World	Onefootball


	Botafogo RJ		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.2	1.92
	4.49	3.35	1.98
	4.14	3.3	1.99
	4	3.1	1.91
	4.44	3.39	1.96	Watch
	3.55	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.42)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
23%

Draw
28.9%

Flamengo
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

Botafogo RJ - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Botafogo (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raul Steffens (G) 2. Vitinho 15. Bastos 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 25. Allan 6. Medina C. 11. Matheus Martins 8. Danilo 14. Barrera J. 19. Arthur Cabral	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira (C) 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 15. Carrascal J. 20. Lucas Paqueta 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
Substitutes
7. Artur 45. Caio Valle 30. Correa J. 88. Edenilson 5. Ferraresi N. 17. Junior Santos 34. Justino G. 24. Leo Linck (G) 10. Montoro A. 28. Newton 4. Ponte M. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.	6. Ayrton Lucas 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 7. Luiz Araujo 19. Plata G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Samuel Lino ⚽, Varela G. (A),
44', Barboza A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Leo Pereira ⚽,
45+4', Allan 🟨,
45+9', Barboza A. 🟥,
45+12', Anselmi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
46', Matheus Martins ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Pedro ⚽, Varela G. (A),
55', Barrera J. ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
59', Pulgar E. 🟨,
65', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
65', Leo Pereira ↓, Vitao ↑,
67', Arthur Cabral 🟨,
68', Jorginho 🟨,
70', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
71', Arthur Cabral ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
81', Danilo ↓, Edenilson ↑,
86', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
86', Jorginho ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.

Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao (Inactive) Marcal (Knee Injury) Ramos C. (Knock) Rodriguez S. (Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique (Inactive) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins (Injury)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Daniel Thuram (Injury) Emerson Royal (Injury) Ryan Roberto (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.8).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Flamengo RJ: 58.98% Botafogo RJ: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Copa Libertadores
10.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTTW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
02.03.26	Madureira - Flamengo	0:8 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.26	Flamengo - Lanús	2:3 ET ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.26	Flamengo - Madureira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3
18.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
12.02.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	1:0
Supercopa do Brasil
02.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:3
Brazilian Serie A
18.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	4:1
28.04.24	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	0:2

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