Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Brentford		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.3	5
	1.9	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.84	3.2	4.7
	1.88	3.36	5.04
	1.91	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.48	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	4.73 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
51.2%

Draw
28.6%

Swansea City
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

28.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

22.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brentford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	3.9%	8.3%

Brentford - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (159 of 181 users predict this - 87.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 92.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium. Limited number of spectators.

Brentford has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 87, has currently - 87, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a good chance of promoted (72%), has not chance of win league.

Swansea has the most likely position - 4 (100%), has project points - 80, has currently - 80, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (28%), has not chance of win league.

Brentford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swansea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English League Championship
22.05.21	Brentford - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
17.05.21	Bournemouth - Brentford	1:0 ✺
08.05.21	Bristol City - Brentford	1:3 ✺
01.05.21	Brentford - Watford	2:0 ✺
27.04.21	Brentford - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
22.05.21	Swansea City - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
17.05.21	Barnsley - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
08.05.21	Watford - Swansea City	2:0 ✺
01.05.21	Swansea City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Reading - Swansea City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.01.21	Swansea City - Brentford	1:1
03.11.20	Brentford - Swansea City	1:1
29.07.20	Brentford - Swansea City	3:1
26.07.20	Swansea City - Brentford	1:0
26.12.19	Brentford - Swansea City	3:1
22.10.19	Swansea City - Brentford	0:3
02.04.19	Swansea City - Brentford	3:0

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