The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 80.6%
Draw 13.1%
Watford 6.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
78.8%
14.2%
7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.7%
9.8%
27.5%
Chelsea - Watford Predictions
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 32 - 62.7%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 27.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 49.4% – 76%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Chelsea is Qualified for Champions League (Group Stage)
Watford is Relegated to Championship
Chelsea has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 73, has currently - 71, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for ucl, has not chance of win league.
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (94.31%), has project points - 24, has currently - 23, was already of relegated.
This event has quality68, very small importance0, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 5.
Recent matches Chelsea is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Watford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chelsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.
There will not play in Chelsea: Chilwell B.
(Knee Injury)
Hudson-Odoi C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Werner T.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Watford: Etebo O.
(Knock)
Kucka J.
(Knee Injury)
Louza I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chelsea: Christensen A.
(Illness)
Kovacic M.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Cleverley T.
(Knock)
Cucho
(Thigh Injury)
Dennis E.
(Knock)
Kiko
(Illness)
King J.
(Illness)
N'Koulou N.
(Groin Injury)
Sarr I.
(Knock)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-7.
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