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Current Win Probability
Watford 16.1%
Draw 24.7%
Everton 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
26.8%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
26.9%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.
Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Everton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.9%
3%
84.2%
Watford - Everton Predictions
Users Predictions:
Everton will win
(170 of 202 users predict this - 84.16%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.12% – 89.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 16).
Watford is Relegated to Championship
Watford has the most likely position - 19 (75.99%), has project points - 25, has currently - 22, was already of relegated.
Everton has the most likely position - 16 (37.5%), has project points - 40, has currently - 35, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality61, small importance18, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 0.
Watford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Everton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Everton is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Everton to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
Watch
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