Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Crystal Palace		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	5.25
	1.66	3.75	5.25
	1.68	3.9	5.75
	1.7	3.85	5.2
	1.7	3.87	5.56
	1.65	3.75	5.25
	1.71	3.95	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	3.84 ↑ (3.83)	5.37 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
57.1%

Draw
25%

Watford
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.4%	6.6%	17%

Crystal Palace - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 81 - 76.4%). Watford will win (votes: 18 - 17%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 6.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 68.3% – 84.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Crystal Palace has the most likely position - 11 (18.92%), has project points - 47, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Watford has the most likely position - 19 (72.22%), has project points - 26, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 65, very small importance 0, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 3.

Crystal Palace is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Crystal Palace have a series of guest games.

In this match Crystal Palace is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Crystal Palace won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
30.04.22	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.04.22	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.04.22	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL
- Watford FC
English Premier League
30.04.22	Watford - Burnley	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Manchester City - Watford	5:1 ✺
16.04.22	Watford - Brentford	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Watford - Leeds United	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Liverpool - Watford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.02.22	Watford - Crystal Palace	1:4
English League Cup
24.08.21	Watford - Crystal Palace	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Crystal Palace - Watford	3:1
English Premier League
07.03.20	Crystal Palace - Watford	1:0
07.12.19	Watford - Crystal Palace	0:0
English FA Cup
16.03.19	Watford - Crystal Palace	2:1
English Premier League
12.01.19	Crystal Palace - Watford	1:2

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