Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - ROUND 8

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Llanelian Road (Old Colwyn)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Colwyn Bay		Newtown

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.88	3.87	1.85
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.5	3.84	1.87
	3.55	3.6	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.13)	3.68 ↓ (3.92)	1.88 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colwyn Bay
25.5%

Draw
25.1%

Newtown
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

23.7%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.3%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Colwyn Bay - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks A. (G) 24. Akpan U. 22. Creamer T. 9. Cumming J. 2. Downes A. (C) 3. Edwards S. 10. Hill M. 15. Holmes D. 21. Jones D. 17. Rushton N. 18. Williams G.	1. Wycherley A. (G) 8. Evans R. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 18. Jones M. 3. Roberts C. 10. Robles L. 4. Sears R. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. (C) 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
11. Allshorn D. 5. Diau B. 28. Giblin J. 23. Jones D. 4. Owens C. 13. Smith J. (G) 20. Turner S.	15. Boakye H. 23. Hartley Z. 5. Mills-Evans K. 9. Oswell J. 2. Sharp O. 29. Taylor M. 13. Ussher S. (G)
Coaches
Evans S.	Hughes C.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Colwyn Bay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newtown is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colwyn Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Newtown will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Pen-y-Bont - Colwyn Bay	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLLL
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
16.09.23	Newtown - Barry Town United	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Haverfordwest County - Newtown	0:4 ✺
01.09.23	Newtown - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 ✺
29.08.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Newtown - Aberystwyth Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLT

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