Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Derby County		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8.5
	1.33	4.8	9.5
	1.33	5.15	10
	1.31	4.7	7.8
	1.33	5.24	10.54
	1.33	4.6	9.5
	1.34	4.95	9.1	Watch
	1.33	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.29)	4.96 ↓ (5.18)	9.24 ↓ (9.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
70.8%

Draw
19%

Morecambe
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

18.1%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Derby County - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 19).

Derby has the most likely position - 4 (21.76%), has project points - 85, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (44%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 20 (13.41%), has project points - 48, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 47, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Morecambe have a series of home games.

In this match Derby is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Derby to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Derby won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County
English FA Cup
30.01.23	Derby County - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
English League One
24.01.23	Port Vale - Derby County	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Derby County - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Cheltenham Town - Derby County	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.23	Derby County - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Morecambe
English League One
28.01.23	Morecambe - Bristol Rovers	5:1 ✺
24.01.23	Ipswich Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Morecambe - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.23	Morecambe - Burton Albion	5:0 ✺
29.12.22	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.11.22	Morecambe - Derby County	1:1

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