Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 5

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Excelsior		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.9	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.7	3.28
	2.05	4	3.45
	1.95	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.82	3.32	Watch
	2.04	3.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2)	3.79 ↑ (3.77)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
46.7%

Draw
24.9%

Almere City
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	43.7%	18.7%

Excelsior - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (C) 2. Horemans S. 5. Widell C. 16. Nieuwpoort S. 12. Zagre A. 8. Sandra C. 4. el Yaakoubi R. 33. Baas J. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 19. Agrafiotis N. 14. Driouech C.	1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. van Bruggen D. (C) 22. Barbet T. 2. Floranus S. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 15. Koopmeiners P. 27. van La Parra R. 28. Resink S. 23. Royo M. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
18. Alblas N. (G) 22. Benita M. 25. Fein A. 10. Fitz-Jim K. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Omorrowa R. 11. Oscar U. 9. Parrott T. 34. Seymor S. 28. Smeulers I.	19. Cathline Y. 10. Duijvestijn L. 36. Esajas M. 17. Hansen K. 3. Jacobs Jo. 26. Keller S. (G) 11. Kitala Y. 25. Mamengi C. 5. Mbe Soh L. 14. Pascu 18. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 29. Van Hoeven B.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Pastoor A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 0.

Recent matches Excelsior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almere City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Excelsior will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
02.09.23	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Excelsior - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.23	Excelsior - Quick Boys	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.08.23	NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LTTTW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
02.09.23	Almere City - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Feyenoord - Almere City	6:1 ✺
19.08.23	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Almere City - Twente	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Oostende - Almere City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.07.22	Almere City - Excelsior	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.04.22	Almere City - Excelsior	3:0
14.11.21	Excelsior - Almere City	4:4
06.03.21	Almere City - Excelsior	4:1
06.09.20	Excelsior - Almere City	4:6
13.09.19	Excelsior - Almere City	4:2
31.03.14	Almere City - Excelsior	1:0

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