Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	FBC Melgar		Bahia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.2	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.72
	4.7	3.2	1.74	Watch
	4.8	3.35	1.71
	5.1	3.4	1.79
	5	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.65	3.48	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
18.9%

Draw
28%

Bahia
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.5%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

20.1%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FBC Melgar - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
23.10.20	Cusco - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
17.10.20	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
14.10.20	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	3:0 ✺
09.10.20	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
05.10.20	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.20	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
16.10.20	Goiás - Bahia	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Fluminense - Bahia	1:0 ✺
07.10.20	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
04.10.20	Bahia - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWL

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