What is the expert prediction for Lens vs Freiburg?

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Lens vs Freiburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 15, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Lens		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.8	5
	1.72	4	4.95	Watch
	1.72	3.9	5.2
	1.71	3.87	5.08
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.75	3.91	4.89
	1.72	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	4.98 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
56.1%

Draw
24.7%

Freiburg
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	13.8%	12.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 63.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 21. Haidara M. 2. Aguilar R. 18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 29. Frankowski P. 7. Sotoca F. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 9. Wahi E.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 14. Keitel Y. 5. Gulde M. 33. Makengo J. 27. Hofler N. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 42. Doan R. 34. Rohl M. 22. Sallai R. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
6. Abdul Samed S. 11. Fulgini A. 27. Guilavogui M. 13. Jhoanner Chavez 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 26. Mendy N. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W. 32. Sishuba A. 28. Thomasson A.	20. Adamu J. 38. Gregoritsch M. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 21. Muller F. (G) 23. Muslija F. 26. Philipp M. 25. Sildillia K. 6. Szalai At. 31. Uphoff B. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Streich C.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Lens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lens is a favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Medina F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Freiburg: Ginter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gulde M. (Knee Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
10.02.24	Lens - Strasbourg	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Nantes - Lens	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Toulouse - Lens	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Lens - Monaco	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
09.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWT

Lens - Freiburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide