Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Germany	21:00	RTL
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV4
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Lens		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.8	5
	1.72	4	4.95	Watch
	1.72	3.9	5.2
	1.71	3.87	5.08
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.75	3.91	4.89
	1.72	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	4.98 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lens
56.1%

Draw
24.7%

Freiburg
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	13.8%	12.3%

Lens - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 63.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (C) 24. Gradit J. 4. Danso K. 21. Haidara M. 2. Aguilar R. 18. Diouf A. 23. El Aynaoui N. 29. Frankowski P. 7. Sotoca F. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 9. Wahi E.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 14. Keitel Y. 5. Gulde M. 33. Makengo J. 27. Hofler N. 8. Eggestein M. (C) 42. Doan R. 34. Rohl M. 22. Sallai R. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
6. Abdul Samed S. 11. Fulgini A. 27. Guilavogui M. 13. Jhoanner Chavez 25. Khusanov A. 16. Leca J. (G) 26. Mendy N. 40. Pandor Y. (G) 22. Said W. 32. Sishuba A. 28. Thomasson A.	20. Adamu J. 38. Gregoritsch M. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 21. Muller F. (G) 23. Muslija F. 26. Philipp M. 25. Sildillia K. 6. Szalai At. 31. Uphoff B. (G)
Coaches
Haise F.	Streich C.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Lens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lens is a favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Medina F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Freiburg: Ginter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gulde M. (Knee Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
10.02.24	Lens - Strasbourg	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Nantes - Lens	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Toulouse - Lens	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Lens - Monaco	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
09.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Lens - Como	✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Lille - Lens	✺
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
31.10.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.26	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	✺

Lens - Freiburg