Lens - Freiburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday
  • Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • africaAfricaSuperSport
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    germanyGermanyRTL
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports
    Lens Freiburg
    Lens Freiburg
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 1.72 3.9 5
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.87)
    3.87
    (3.61)
    4.98
    (4.17)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Lens
    56.1%
    Draw
    24.7%
    Freiburg
    19.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    50.9% 26.3% 22.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    54% 27.9% 21.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    73.8% 13.8% 12.3%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 63.1% โ€“ 84.5%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. FranceSamba B. (C)
    24. FranceGradit J.
      4. AustriaDanso K.
    21. MaliHaidara M.
      2. FranceAguilar R.
    18. FranceDiouf A.
    23. MoroccoEl Aynaoui N.
    29. PolandFrankowski P.
      7. FranceSotoca F.
    10. PortugalPereira da Costa D.
      9. FranceWahi E.
      1. GermanyAtubolu N. (G)
    17. GermanyKubler L.
    14. GermanyKeitel Y.
      5. GermanyGulde M.
    33. FranceMakengo J.
    27. GermanyHofler N.
      8. GermanyEggestein M. (C)
    42. JapanDoan R.
    34. GermanyRohl M.
    22. HungarySallai R.
      9. GermanyHoler L.
    Substitutes
      6. GhanaAbdul Samed S.
    11. FranceFulgini A.
    27. GuineaGuilavogui M.
    13. EcuadorJhoanner Chavez
    25. UzbekistanKhusanov A.
    16. FranceLeca J. (G)
    26. SenegalMendy N.
    40. ComorosPandor Y. (G)
    22. FranceSaid W.
    32. BelgiumSishuba A.
    28. FranceThomasson A.
    20. AustriaAdamu J.
    38. AustriaGregoritsch M.
    32. ItalyGrifo V.
    30. GermanyGunter C.
    21. GermanyMuller F. (G)
    23. KosovoMuslija F.
    26. GermanyPhilipp M.
    25. FranceSildillia K.
      6. HungarySzalai At.
    31. GermanyUphoff B. (G)
    Coaches
         FranceHaise F.
         GermanyStreich C.

    Preview

  • 1st leg.
  • Recent matches Lens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Freiburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • In this match Lens is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Machado D. (Injury) Medina F. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Freiburg: Ginter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gulde M. (Knee Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)
  • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
  • banner

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - RC Lens
    French Ligue 1
    10.02.24 Lens - Strasbourg 3:1
    03.02.24 Nantes - Lens 0:1
    28.01.24 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    14.01.24 Lens - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    Coupe De France
    07.01.24 Lens - Monaco 2:3 penalties
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8
    WWWLL
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    09.02.24 Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg 3:0
    03.02.24 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    27.01.24 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 3:1
    20.01.24 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    13.01.24 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1
    LLLWT
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - RC Lens
    French Ligue 1
    13.09.26 Le Mans - Lens
    UEFA Champions League
    10.09.26 Slavia Prague - Lens
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    12.09.26 Freiburg - Borussia Mรถnchengladbach