Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fulham		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.5
	1.72	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.71	3.8	5
	1.74	3.86	5.18
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.72	3.78	4.9	Watch
	1.72	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	5.08 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
55.8%

Draw
25.4%

Luton Town
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8.3%	11.7%

Fulham - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (48 of 60 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.88% – 90.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 31. Diop I. 13. Ream T. (C) 21. Castagne T. 6. Reed H. 26. Palhinha J. 18. Pereira A. 8. Wilson H. 7. Jimenez R. 20. Willian	24. Kaminski T. (G) 12. Kabore I. 16. Burke R. 5. Andersen M. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 29. Bell A. 14. Chong T. 13. Nakamba M. 28. Lokonga A. S. 19. Brown J. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
12. Ballo-Toure F. 3. Bassey C. 10. Cairney T. 30. Carlos Vinicius 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 35. Francois T. 22. Iwobi A. 1. Rodak M. (G) 19. Rodrigo Muniz	11. Adebayo E. 8. Berry L. 45. Doughty A. 26. Giles R. 23. Krul T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Ogbene C. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Silva M.	Edwards R.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fulham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fulham is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fulham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
02.09.23	Manchester City - Fulham	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.08.23	Arsenal - Fulham	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Fulham - Brentford	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Everton - Fulham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWTLW
- Luton Town
English Premier League
01.09.23	Luton Town - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Luton Town - Gillingham	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.08.23	Chelsea - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bochum - Luton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.05.22	Fulham - Luton Town	7:0
11.12.21	Luton Town - Fulham	1:1
26.12.19	Luton Town - Fulham	3:3
23.10.19	Fulham - Luton Town	3:2

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