Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	HJK		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.4
	2.75	3.6	2.45
	2.7	3.4	2.6
	2.71	3.47	2.66
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.66	3.44	2.54
	2.75	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.81)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
34.9%

Draw
27.6%

Qarabağ Agdam
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.6%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	19.2%	50%

HJK - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 13 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Maenpaa N. (G) 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 22. Raitala J. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 10. Lingman L. 2. Ollila T. 18. Keskinen T. 9. Radulovic B. 7. Hostikka S.	1. Mahammadaliyev S. (C) 27. Bayramov T. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 19. Xhixha R.
Substitutes
17. Bande H. 5. Da Graca K. 6. Halme A. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 29. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 14. Peltola M. 78. Ramula A. (G) 11. Riski Ro. 8. Rogic F. 37. Tanaka A.	90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 11. Diakhaby A. 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 55. Huseynov B. 18. Juninho 17. Keyta H. 4. Mammadov R. 5. Medvedev M. 83. Quliyev N. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 20. Richard Almeyda
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Gurbanov G.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.08.23	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Molde - HJK	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.07.23	SJK - HJK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
26.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - HJK	2:1

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