Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN
Azerbaijan	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	09:30	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	10:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN Premium
Colombia	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:30	ESPN 5
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Paraguay	09:30	ESPN 5
Peru	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	16:30	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.45
	2.82	3.55	2.42	Watch
	2.97	3.74	2.38
	2.72	3.62	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.81	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.64)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	2.41 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
34.1%

Draw
26.3%

Freiburg
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	41.4%	34.5%

Hamburger SV - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Freiburg will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.2% – 57.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Freiburg (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Freiburg (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. (C) 44. Vuskovic L. 17. Omari W. 18. Jatta B. 21. Remberg N. 6. Lokonga A. S. 23. Gronbaek A. 20. Vieira F. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 49. Stange O.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 29. Treu P. 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. (C) 31. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 8. Elfadli D. 37. Lemke L. 43. Nandja S. 27. Otele P. 14. Philippe R. 15. Poulsen Y. 12. Tangvik S. (G) 25. Torunarigha J.	30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 26. Philipp M. 7. Scherhant D.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Jatta B. ⚽, Gronbaek A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Kubler L. (A),
20', Kubler L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
59', Beste J. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Vuskovic L. ⚽,
65', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
65', Stange O. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
65', Jatta B. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Balde F. ⚽, Remberg N. (A),
68', Ogbus B. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
68', Kubler L. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
71', Ginter M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
80', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
86', Holer L. 🟨,
86', Capaldo N. 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Matanovic I. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
90+6', Vieira F. ↓, Lemke L. ↑,
90+6', Vuskovic L. ↓, Nandja S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Calf Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury) Suzuki Y. (Broken collarbone)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Muheim M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Beste J. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16:9	7	13
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Hamburger SV - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Freiburg - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLT
- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
07.05.26	Freiburg - Braga	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
03.05.26	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Braga - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.04.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1
Club Friendly
13.01.23	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	5:2
German DFB Pokal
19.04.22	Hamburger SV - Freiburg	1:3
German Bundesliga
21.04.18	Hamburger SV - Freiburg	1:0
Club Friendly
07.01.18	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	1:1
German Bundesliga
01.12.17	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	0:0

Upcoming Matches