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Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 07, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Heidenheim		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.88	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.99	3.5	2.49
	2.9	3.47	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	3.03	3.53	2.49	Watch
	3	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.77)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
32.8%

Draw
27.7%

Hamburger SV
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.4%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	57.7%	26.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.7% – 76.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Heidenheim (2.08) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Hamburg (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Heidenheim (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. 5. Gimber B. 23. Traore O. H. 16. Niehues J. 30. Dorsch N. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 18. Pieringer M.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 17. Omari W. 44. Vuskovic L. 8. Elfadli D. 18. Jatta B. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. 20. Vieira F. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 27. Otele P.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 17. Honsak M. 9. Schimmer S. 3. Schoppner J. 4. Siersleben T. 11. Zivzivadze B.	19. Downs D. 9. Glatzel R. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 39. Megeed O. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 14. Philippe R. 49. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G) 25. Torunarigha J.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Elfadli D. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Traore O. H. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
46', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
46', Elfadli D. ↓, Torunarigha J. ↑,
46', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
64', Niehues J. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
68', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
68', Otele P. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
77', Gimber B. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
80', Vieira F. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
88', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.

Heidenheim is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Kolle A. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Stergiou L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F. (Injury) Capaldo N. (Yellow Cards) Dompe J. (Suspended) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hamburger SV	27	7	9	11	31:40	-9	30
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27:61	-34	15

Last Results with these Odds

Heidenheim - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.3%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Hamburger SV - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.31%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLT
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	St. Pauli - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:1
German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	3:3
06.08.22	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	1:0
12.02.22	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:0
28.08.21	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:0
20.03.21	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:0

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