Match Info

Serie A - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	QN Sports
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Juventus		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.7	Watch
	1.92	3.32	5.03
	1.99	3.26	4.51	Watch
	1.85	3	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3.23	4.67
	1.92	3.14	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.16)	3.19 (3.19)	4.7 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
49.8%

Draw
29.9%

Napoli
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventus's performance.

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	19.4%	12.9%

Juventus - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 42 - 67.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 8 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 56.1% – 79.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Napoli (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Juventus (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Juventus (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Napoli (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 19. Thuram K. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 7. Conceicao F. 22. McKennie W. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.	1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. 4. Buongiorno A. 5. Juan Jesus 3. Gutierrez M. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 19. Hojlund R. 20. Elmas E.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 4. Gatti F. 49. Huli R. (G) 25. Joao Mario 8. Koopmeiners T. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.	31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 98. De Chiara E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 23. Giovane 9. Lukaku R. 17. Olivera M. 95. Prisco V.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Locatelli M. (A),
34', Juan Jesus 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Yildiz K. 🟨,
60', Conceicao F. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
60', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
70', Elmas E. ↓, Giovane ↑,
73', Vergara A. 🟨,
74', Gutierrez M. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
77', David J. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Yildiz K. ⚽, Miretti F. (A),
79', Vergara A. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Kostic F. ⚽,
88', Locatelli M. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
88', Yildiz K. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 1.

Juventus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Napoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventus could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juventus: Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Politano M. (Muscle Injury) Rrahmani A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Meret A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Napoli: 3.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Juventus - Cremonese	5:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Juventus - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWT
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Copenhagen - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1
25.01.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1
21.09.24	Juventus - Napoli	0:0
03.03.24	Napoli - Juventus	2:1
08.12.23	Juventus - Napoli	1:0
23.04.23	Juventus - Napoli	0:1
13.01.23	Napoli - Juventus	5:1

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