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Köln - RB Leipzig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
  • Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Köln RB Leipzig
    Köln RB Leipzig
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.34 ↑
    (3.12)    		 3.89 ↓
    (3.9)    		 2.02 ↓
    (2.11)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Köln
    28.5%    		Draw
    24.5%    		RB Leipzig
    47.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    30.5% 24.4% 45.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    30.6% 24.5% 44.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    5.7% 9.4% 84.9%

    Köln - RB Leipzig Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - RB Leipzig (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - RB Leipzig (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.33% – 94.29%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 2.9%). RB Leipzig (votes: 33 - 97.1%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanySchwabe M. (C)
    28. NorwaySebulonsen S.
      6. GermanyMartel E.
    39. TurkeyOzkacar C.
    29. GermanyThielmann J.
    18. IcelandJohannesson I.
      5. GermanyKrauss T.
    32. USALund K.
    16. PolandKaminski J.
      9. GermanyAche R.
    13. GermanyEl Mala S.
    		  1. HungaryGulacsi P. (G)
    39. GermanyHenrichs B.
      4. HungaryOrban W.
    13. AustriaSeiwald N.
    22. GermanyRaum D. (C)
    10. GermanyGruda B.
    24. AustriaSchlager X.
    14. AustriaBaumgartner C.
    49. IvoryDiomande Y.
    40. BrazilRomulo Cardoso
      7. NorwayNusa A.
    Substitutes
    30. GermanyBulter M.
    27. PeruChavez F.
      8. BosniaHuseinbasic D.
    38. GermanyNiang Y.
    40. GermanySchenten F.
      2. SwitzerlandSchmied J.
    33. Netherlandsvan den Berg R.
      7. GermanyWaldschmidt L.
    20. GermanyZieler R. (G)
    		  9. BelgiumBakayoko J.
    17. GermanyBaku R.
      6. NetherlandsBanzuzi E.
      5. FranceBitshiabu E.
    35. GermanyFinkgrafe M.
    27. FranceGomis T.
    11. DenmarkHarder C.
    16. GermanyKlostermann L.
    26. BelgiumVandevoordt M. (G)
    Coaches
         GermanyKwasniok L.
    		     GermanyWerner O.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 29', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 51', 1 - 1, Thielmann J. ⚽,
    • 56', 1 - 2, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Schlager X. (A),
    • 58', Thielmann J. 🟨,
    • 64', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
    • 64', Henrichs B. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
    • 68', Johannesson I. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
    • 77', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
    • 77', Raum D. 🟨,
    • 78', Lund K. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
    • 82', Gruda B. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
    • 82', Diomande Y. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
    • 90', Ache R. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
    • 90', Thielmann J. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
    • 90+1', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Gulacsi P. 🟨,
    • 90+6', Nusa A. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • RB Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Lukeba C. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Sani S. (Ankle Injury) Thomas A. (Illness)
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 1.1:2.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

    • Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
    RB Leipzig: 2.84%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    9RB Leipzig42029:546
    13FC Koln41126:9-34

    Last Results with these Odds

    RB Leipzig - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    30.01.26 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    25.01.26 Freiburg - Köln 2:1 ✺
    17.01.26 Köln - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    14.01.26 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    10.01.26 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6
    WLWLT
    - RB Leipzig
    German Bundesliga
    31.01.26 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    27.01.26 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺
    24.01.26 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3 ✺
    17.01.26 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    14.01.26 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5
    LTWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    20.09.25 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    15.03.24 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:5
    28.10.23 RB Leipzig - Köln 6:0
    04.02.23 Köln - RB Leipzig 0:0
    13.08.22 RB Leipzig - Köln 2:2
    11.02.22 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    18.09.21 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    16.10.26 Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln ✺
    11.10.26 Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach ✺
    - RB Leipzig
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 RB Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven ✺
    German Bundesliga
    10.10.26 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt ✺

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