The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kochi United 32.4%
Draw 29%
Nagano Parceiro 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
27.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kochi United's form might have worsened.
Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagano Parceiro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kochi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kochi United - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Inose K. (G) 23. Matsumoto D. 4. Kobayashi D. (C) 22. Fujimori R. 16. Kozuki S. 8. Takano Y. 14. Sekino G. 6. Sakagishi K. 10. Sasaki T. 44. Shimoda Y. 13. Kawata A.
21. Nakano K. (G) 26. Nakata S. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. (C) 24. Watanabe Z. 10. Yamanaka R. 77. Morita D. 40. Hasegawa Y. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
33. Cho H. 7. Kanehara A. 28. Nanamure A. 1. Ono R. (G) 19. Origbaajo I. 15. Sakamoto H. 77. Sato J. 20. Sugiyama R. 73. Tanaka T.
15. Higuchi K. 16. Ishii K. 14. Kutsuna K. 11. Shin K. 19. Shoji H. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 3. Tomita K. 22. Yoshida K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Nakata S. ↓, Tomita K. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Fujikawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Sakagishi K. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,
56', Kawata A. ↓, Nanamure A. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Yoshizawa S. ⚽, Fujikawa K. (A),
65', Shimoda Y. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
74', Sekino G. ↓, Cho H. ↑,
78', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
78', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Shoji H. ⚽, Fujikawa K. (A),
86', Kondo T. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
86', Yamanaka R. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
90+5', Ono Y. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Nanamure A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 12th).
Kochi United is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Nagano has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Nagano has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kochi United has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kochi United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Nagano
10
4
2
4
14:14
0
14
20
Kochi United
10
1
2
7
4:23
-19
5
Last Results with these Odds
Nagano Parceiro - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.28%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.