Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Krasnodar		Fakel

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.79	7.88
	1.34	4.65	7.7
	1.42	4.97	7.43	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	4.7 ↑ (4.5)	7.25 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
67.5%

Draw
19.7%

Fakel
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

18.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Krasnodar - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4.

Krasnodar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Fakel has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Krasnodar has faced a series of away games on the road.

Krasnodar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Krasnodar has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:8 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krasnodar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Krasnodar: 16.72% Fakel Voronezh: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Krasnodar - Zenit	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWTTT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Fakel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Rostov - Fakel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
01.09.26	Fakel - Krasnodar	1:2 penalties
Russian Premier League
02.08.26	Krasnodar - Fakel	3:2
30.03.25	Krasnodar - Fakel	5:0
04.08.24	Fakel - Krasnodar	0:0
19.04.24	Krasnodar - Fakel	2:0
25.08.23	Fakel - Krasnodar	0:0
05.11.22	Fakel - Krasnodar	3:3

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