Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Krylya Sovetov		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.14	3.35	2.38
	3.05	3.05	2.3
	3.16	3.15	2.45	Watch
	2.55	2.87	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.55)	3.11 ↑ (2.86)	2.43 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
31.4%

Draw
30.1%

Baltika Kaliningrad
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krylya Sovetov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.

Krylya Sovetov has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Baltika is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krylya Sovetov against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Baltika: 2.88%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TTWTW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties
Russian Premier League
08.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2
07.12.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	2:0
09.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
20.04.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
Russian Cup
19.09.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	1:2
Russian Premier League
27.08.23	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1

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