Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 36

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.42	Watch
	7.25	4.75	1.42
	7.82	4.67	1.41	Watch
	7.8	4.77	1.42
	7.74	4.56	1.43	Watch
	8	4.5	1.4
	8.03	4.63	1.45	Watch
	7.85	4.44	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.75 ↑ (6.45)	4.6 ↑ (4.43)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
12.3%

Draw
20.7%

Leeds United
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21.3%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20.6%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Portsmouth - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Leeds will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 7. Pack M. (C) 3. Ogilvie C. 21. Dozzell A. 8. Potts F. 30. Ritchie M. 17. Aouchiche A. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 44. Gruev I. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
31. Archer J. (G) 18. Bramall C. 24. Devlin T. 14. Gordon K. 45. Hayden I. 11. O'Mahony M. 4. Towler R. 20. Waddingham T. 10. Yengi K.	25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 8. Rothwell J. 33. Schmidt I.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Poole R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Aouchiche A. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Bishop C. ⚽, Ogilvie C. (A),
68', Solomon M. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
68', Tanaka A. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
68', Aaronson B. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
75', Ritchie M. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
79', Bogle J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
79', Gruev I. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
90', Dozzell A. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
90', Swanson Z. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
90+2', Potts F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leeds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Atkinson R. (Calf Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Joseph M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
01.03.25	Luton Town - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Oxford United - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sheffield United - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL
- Leeds United
English League Championship
01.03.25	Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Sheffield United - Leeds United	1:3 ✺
17.02.25	Leeds United - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Watford - Leeds United	0:4 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Leeds United - Millwall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.08.24	Leeds United - Portsmouth	3:3
25.02.12	Portsmouth - Leeds United	0:0

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