Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Claro Sports, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Zoom
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Legia Warsaw		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6
	6	4.1	1.46
	5.45	4.3	1.58	Watch
	5.66	4.3	1.56
	5.58	4.14	1.63	Watch
	5.5	4	1.53
	5.6	4.38	1.59
	5.45	4.3	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (5.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.32)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
17.1%

Draw
22.5%

Chelsea
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

22%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

21.4%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	8.8%	83.8%

Legia Warsaw - Chelsea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Chelsea (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -3 - Chelsea (8.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Legia (1.87) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

EH -1 - Chelsea (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (56 of 67 users predict this - 83.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 92.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Chelsea (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 6. Oyedele M. 8. Augustyniak R. (C) 22. Elitim J. 11. Chodyna K. 25. Morishita R. 82. Luquinhas	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 27. Gusto M. 24. James R. (C) 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 32. George T. 20. Palmer C. 19. Sancho J. 18. Nkunku C.
Substitutes
21. Bichakhchyan V. 5. Goncalves C. 77. Kovacevic V. (G) 23. Kun P. 31. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 51. Mozie P. 52. Olewinski O. 7. Pekhart T. 42. Sergio Barcia 71. Szczepaniak M.	39. Amougou M. 25. Caicedo M. 23. Chalobah T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. 15. Jackson N. 11. Madueke N. 76. Mheuka S. 7. Neto P. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Feio G.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Adarabioyo T. ↓, Colwill L. ↑,
46', Palmer C. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, George T. ⚽, James R. (A),
53', Wszolek P. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Madueke N. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
58', James R. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
73', Nkunku C. (Pen),
74', 0 - 3, Madueke N. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
75', Gusto M. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
75', George T. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
75', Elitim J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
75', Luquinhas ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
82', Oyedele M. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Legia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chelsea is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Jedrzejczyk A. (Red Card) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Ziolkowski J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.25	Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Molde	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
06.04.25	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
03.04.25	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.03.25	Chelsea - Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
09.03.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW

Upcoming Matches