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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 68.4%
Draw 18.9%
Benfica 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.3%
17.7%
10%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
13.6%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
11.2%
10.2%
Liverpool - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
Liverpool will win
(77 of 98 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 86.69%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
2nd leg.
Liverpool was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very good chance of semis (>99%), has a good chance of final (80%), has a chance of win league (44%).
Benfica was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has big quality82, very big importance100, very big match rating91. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Liverpool in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Benfica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Liverpool have a series of guest games.
In this match Liverpool is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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