Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ludogorets Razgrad		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.2	3.25	2.4	Watch
	3.28	3.25	2.38
	3.2	3.25	2.33	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	3.31	3.31	2.43
	3.2	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.37 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
29.9%

Draw
29.6%

AZ Alkmaar
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

27.6%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.8%	17%	36.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 45.7%). AZ will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 31.3% – 60.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Padt S. (G) 15. Kurtulus E. 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 14. Gropper D. 18. Chochev I. 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. (C) 77. Erick Marcus 9. Duah K. 7. Rick	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. 8. Clasie J. (C) 21. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 7. van Bommel R.
Substitutes
39. Bonmann H. (G) 20. Camara A. 67. Hristov D. (G) 3. Nedyalkov A. 19. Rusev G. 12. Rwan Seco 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 16. Witry A. F. 82. Yordanov I.	28. Buurmeester Z. 37. Daal R. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 33. Kwakman D. 23. Lahdo M. 4. Martins Indi B. 35. Meerdink M. 11. Sadiq I. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Jovicevic I.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, van Bommel R. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Maikuma S. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Goes W. 🟨,
49', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Chochev I. ⚽, Erick Marcus (A),
63', 2 - 2, Duah K. ⚽, Erick Marcus (A),
66', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
70', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
70', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
78', Verdon O. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
78', Duah K. ↓, Rwan Seco ↑,
79', Poku E. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
79', van Bommel R. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
84', Chochev I. 🟨,
87', Erick Marcus ↓, Camara A. ↑,
87', Piotrowski J. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
88', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
89', Maikuma S. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AZ have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Nedyalkov A. (Knee Injury) Tekpetey B. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Smit K. (Red Card) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ludogorets: Duarte D. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.12.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	3:0 ✺
04.12.24	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
01.12.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Sofia	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Lazio - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.11.24	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.11.24	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWL

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