Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	ESPN 4
Canada	Sportsnet
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Everton		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.33	7
	1.48	4.34	6.8
	1.52	4.49	6.71
	1.44	4	6
	1.51	4.33	6.3	Watch
	1.45	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	4.3 ↑ (4.16)	6.59 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
63.6%

Draw
22%

Luton Town
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Everton - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Virginia J. (G) 2. Patterson N. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 32. Branthwaite J. 19. Mykolenko V. 8. Onana A. 37. Garner J. 11. Harrison J. 14. Beto 7. McNeil D. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.	23. Krul T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 16. Burke R. 29. Bell A. 45. Doughty A. 6. Barkley R. 28. Lokonga A. S. 7. Ogbene C. 30. Townsend A. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
28. Chermiti 10. Danjuma A. 61. Dobbin L. 22. Godfrey B. 58. Hunt M. 5. Keane M. 31. Lonergan A. (G) 1. Pickford J. (G) 18. Young A.	8. Berry L. 14. Chong T. 38. Johnson J. 24. Kaminski T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 3. Potts D. 1. Shea J. (G) 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Edwards R.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Everton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Everton is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Everton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English FA Cup
17.01.24	Everton - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.01.24	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.01.24	Crystal Palace - Everton	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	3:0 ✺
27.12.23	Everton - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTLL
- Luton Town
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.01.24	Burnley - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Luton Town - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
26.12.23	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.09.23	Everton - Luton Town	1:2

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