What is the expert prediction for Newcastle United vs Luton Town?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Newcastle United vs Luton Town. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Newcastle United vs Luton Town Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 03, 2024)

Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Cameroon	CRTV
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Newcastle United		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.44	5.05	7.3
	1.45	4.9	6.8
	1.47	4.98	6.74
	1.4	4.8	6.5
	1.49	4.98	6.98	Watch
	1.46	4.95	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.93 ↓ (5.19)	6.72 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
66.2%

Draw
19.5%

Luton Town
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

17.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	3.8%	9.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 46 - 86.8%). Luton will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 77.7% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Trippier K. (C) 5. Schar F. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Bruno Guimaraes 67. Miley L. 24. Almiron M. 10. Gordon A. 23. Murphy J.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. 7. Ogbene C. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 18. Clark J. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)
Substitutes
15. Barnes H. 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 18. Karius L. (G) 17. Krafth E. 21. Livramento V. 11. Ritchie M. 40. White J. 9. Wilson C.	8. Berry L. 19. Brown J. 16. Burke R. 14. Chong T. 12. Kabore I. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Howe E.	Edwards R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.01.24	Newcastle United - Manchester City	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Sunderland - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
01.01.24	Liverpool - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL
- Luton Town
English Premier League
30.01.24	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Everton - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
16.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.01.24	Burnley - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.12.23	Luton Town - Newcastle United	1:0
English FA Cup
06.01.18	Newcastle United - Luton Town	3:1

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