Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	12:00	ESPN
Cameroon	16:00	CRTV
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports
Malaysia	23:00	Astro
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	17:00	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Newcastle United		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.44	5.05	7.3
	1.45	4.9	6.8
	1.47	4.98	6.74
	1.4	4.8	6.5
	1.49	4.98	6.98	Watch
	1.46	4.95	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.93 ↓ (5.19)	6.72 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
66.2%

Draw
19.5%

Luton Town
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	3.8%	9.4%

Newcastle United - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (46 of 53 users predict this - 86.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.67% – 95.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Trippier K. (C) 5. Schar F. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Bruno Guimaraes 67. Miley L. 24. Almiron M. 10. Gordon A. 23. Murphy J.	24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. 7. Ogbene C. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 18. Clark J. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)
Substitutes
15. Barnes H. 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 18. Karius L. (G) 17. Krafth E. 21. Livramento V. 11. Ritchie M. 40. White J. 9. Wilson C.	8. Berry L. 19. Brown J. 16. Burke R. 14. Chong T. 12. Kabore I. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Howe E.	Edwards R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
30.01.24	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.01.24	Newcastle United - Manchester City	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Sunderland - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
01.01.24	Liverpool - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL
- Luton Town
English Premier League
30.01.24	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Everton - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
16.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.01.24	Burnley - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.12.23	Luton Town - Newcastle United	1:0
English FA Cup
06.01.18	Newcastle United - Luton Town	3:1

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