Match Info

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday


	Lyon		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.10	4.60
	1.62	4.15	4.9
	1.7	4.22	4.88
	1.7	4.02	4.53	Watch
	1.67	4.15	4.75
	1.71	4.21	5.18	Watch
	1.67	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	4.13 ↑ (4.02)	4.77 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
56.9%

Draw
23.1%

Nice
20%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	4%	0%

Lyon - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.

Lyon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Nice have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lyon for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 18:9 goals (averaging 1.8:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	7	11
10	Nice	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 2.51% Nice: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.54%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Anderlecht - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Lyon - Nice	2:0
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2
09.03.25	Nice - Lyon	0:2
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1
16.02.24	Lyon - Nice	1:0
27.08.23	Nice - Lyon	0:0
03.06.23	Nice - Lyon	3:1

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