Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Manchester United		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	2.63	4.2	2.3
	2.65	3.9	2.35
	2.68	4.05	2.42	Watch
	2.69	4.22	2.44
	2.68	4.22	2.39
	2.62	4	2.25
	2.75	4.4	2.42
	2.65	4.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.47)	4.14 ↑ (3.82)	2.37 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: Univision

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
36.1%

Draw
23.3%

Bayern Munich
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	10.5%	75.8%

Manchester United - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 17 - 13.7%). Bayern will win (votes: 94 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 68.3% – 83.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 19. Varane R. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 39. McTominay S. 4. Amrabat S. 21. Antony 8. Fernandes B. (C) 17. Garnacho A. 11. Hojlund R.	1. Neuer M. (C) 40. Mazraoui N. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 19. Davies A. 6. Kimmich J. 8. Goretzka L. 11. Coman K. 42. Musiala J. 10. Sane L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 35. Evans J. 44. Gore D. 22. Heaton T. (G) 52. Hugill J. 37. Mainoo K. 46. Mejbri H. 28. Pellistri F. 15. Reguilon S. 29. Wan-Bissaka A.	13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 22. Guerreiro R. 41. Kratzig F. 27. Laimer K. 25. Muller T. 45. Pavlovic A. 18. Peretz D. (G) 39. Tel M.
Coaches
ten Hag E.	Tuchel T.

Preview

Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Man Utd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Hamstring Injury) Diallo A. (Knee Injury) Eriksen C. (Knee Injury) Lindelof V. (Knock) Malacia T. (Muscle Injury) Martinez Li. (Foot Injury) Mount M. (Injury) Sancho J. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury) Ulreich S. (Ankle Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
09.12.23	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
06.12.23	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Newcastle United - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Galatasaray - Manchester United	3:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.11.23	Everton - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
09.12.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Bayern Munich - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.11.23	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bayern Munich - Heidenheim	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Bayern Munich - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Bayern Munich - Manchester United	4:3
Club Friendly
05.08.18	Bayern Munich - Manchester United	1:0
UEFA Champions League
09.04.14	Bayern Munich - Manchester United	3:1
01.04.14	Manchester United - Bayern Munich	1:1

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