Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Manchester United		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2.15	3.5	3.3
	2.28	3.6	3.3
	2.24	3.5	3.15
	2.33	3.55	3.22
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.28	3.62	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
43.2%

Draw
27.4%

RB Leipzig
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

21.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.6%	19%	29.4%

Manchester United - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 126 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 65 - 51.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 37 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 42.9% – 60.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Man Utd has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

RB Leipzig has a good chance of round of 16 (65%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Man Utd is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

RB Leipzig in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Man Utd will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
24.10.20	Manchester United - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.20	Newcastle United - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
04.10.20	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:6 ✺
English League Cup
30.09.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWLW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
24.10.20	RB Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	RB Leipzig - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.20	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	RB Leipzig - Schalke 04	4:0 ✺
26.09.20	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT

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