The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 48.4%
Draw 26.4%
Oldham Athletic 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
25.7%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
16.5%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mansfield Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Mansfield has the most likely position - 14 (5.68%), has project points - 60, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Oldham has the most likely position - 24 (14.07%), has project points - 48, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.