Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Filipe L. (Por)


	Marítimo		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.78	3.4	4.45
	1.79	3.54	4.8
	1.78	3.49	4.62
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.79	3.45	4.44
	1.75	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	4.4 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
51.9%

Draw
27%

Felgueiras
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Marítimo - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marítimo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 44. Correia R. (C) 25. Freitas A. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A. 21. Bouzaidi S.	25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 10. Michel Costa 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 79. Leite T. 19. Lucas Duarte 20. Berna
Substitutes
6. Andrade R. 90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 4. Santos Junior E. A. 79. Tavares M. 17. Xavi Grande 34. Zavala K. (G)	45. Aidara M. 77. Beni 17. Cruz F. 4. Dudu Cruz 30. Feliz 41. Mateus Pasinato (G) 3. Pinto J. 7. Rivas M. 9. Santos Teixeira L.
Coaches
Moita M.	Bento A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Butzke A. ⚽,
39', Lucas Duarte 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Freitas A. ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Leite T. ⚽,
65', Berna ↓, Feliz ↑,
77', Leite T. 🟨,
78', Leite T. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
78', Michel Costa ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
78', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
78', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
84', Feliz 🟨,
89', Bouzaidi S. 🟥,
90', Butzke A. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
90+1', Tejon M. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 11).

Marítimo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Felgueiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Marítimo will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.26	Lusitânia - Marítimo	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Chaves - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Leixões - Marítimo	1:4 ✺
16.12.25	Marítimo - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Marítimo - Torreense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWTW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.26	Felgueiras - Leixões	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Portimonense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Felgueiras - Porto B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Leiria - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.08.25	Felgueiras - Marítimo	0:1
15.03.25	Marítimo - Felgueiras	0:0
27.10.24	Felgueiras - Marítimo	1:3

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