Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	ON Football


	Napoli		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.16	3.3	2.49
	3.62	3.01	2.19	Watch
	3.56	3.29	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.64)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.28 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
28%

Draw
29.9%

Inter Milan
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

33.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.5%	31.9%	42.6%

Napoli - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 12 - 26.1%). Inter will win (votes: 19 - 41.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 32.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 27.1% – 55.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Inter (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Inter (1.33) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Napoli (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Inter (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 4. Buongiorno A. 5. Juan Jesus 37. Spinazzola L. 6. Gilmour B. 21. Politano M. 99. Anguissa F. 11. De Bruyne K. 8. McTominay S. 7. David Neres	1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 14. Bonny A. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
69. Ambrosino G. 31. Beukema S. 20. Elmas E. 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Olivera M. 55. Spinelli D. (G) 26. Vergara A.	31. Bisseck Y. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 30. Carlos Augusto 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 8. Sucic P. 7. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Conte A.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, De Bruyne K. (Pen),
37', De Bruyne K. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
43', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
45+6', Gilmour B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, McTominay S. ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
61', Conte A. 🟨,
62', Bonny A. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Anguissa F. ⚽, David Neres (A),
73', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
73', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
73', Dumfries D. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
77', Bastoni A. 🟨,
81', David Neres ↓, Lang N. ↑,
82', Politano M. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
90', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
90', Buongiorno A. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.

Recent performances by Napoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Inter is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Hojlund R. (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Thuram M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Napoli	6:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Torino - Napoli	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Napoli - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Milan - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Inter Milan - Cremonese	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Inter Milan - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.03.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	1:1
10.11.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1
17.03.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1
Italian Super Cup
22.01.24	Napoli - Inter Milan	0:1
Italian Serie A
03.12.23	Napoli - Inter Milan	0:3
21.05.23	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1
04.01.23	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:0

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