The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 36.1%
Draw 26%
New York City 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
25.2%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
26.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
New York Red Bulls - New York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 20%). NY City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 2. Che J. 12. Nealis D. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 2. Cavallo N. 55. Parks K. 5. Trewin K. 26. Ojeda A. 10. Moralez M. 17. Wolf H. 7. Mercau N.
Substitutes
14. Bazan J. 39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 33. Mitchell R. 79. Mosquera R. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O.
29. Carrizo M. 87. Farnos A. 88. Jones M. 8. Perea A. 15. Pierre K. 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Bradley M.
Jansen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Marshall-Rutty J. 🟨,
24', Raul Gustavo 🟨,
39', Moralez M. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wolf H. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
49', Parks K. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Perea A. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
59', Parks K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
69', Forsberg E. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
69', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
69', Che J. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
77', Cavallo N. 🟨,
82', Nealis D. 🟨,
85', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
86', Parker T. 🟨,
90+1', Ojeda A. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
90+1', Mercau N. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
O'Neill A.
(Ankle Injury)
O'Toole K.
(Leg Injury)
Talles Magno
(Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Choupo-Moting E. M.
(Knee Injury)
Harper C.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
Outrights of MLS for now
New York City: 1.05% New York Red Bulls: 0.9%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Red Bulls - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
New York City - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Horvath E. (G) 
Marshall-Rutty J. 
Donkor R. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
Trewin K. 
Ojeda A. 
Wolf H. 
Bazan J. 
Mitchell R. 
Mosquera R. 
Farnos A. 
Jones M. 
Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Jansen P. 
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