The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 33.1%
Draw 31.4%
Middlesbrough 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
29.9%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
21.6%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesbrough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
46.7%
33.3%
Nottingham Forest - Middlesbrough Predictions
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 12 - 20%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 20 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.1% – 59.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 24 (10.03%), has project points - 50, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 14 (5.68%), has project points - 60, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nottingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.
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