The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 18%
Draw 25.5%
Norwich City 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
28.2%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
23.8%
56.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
3.2%
89.7%
Nottingham Forest - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Norwich City will win
(139 of 155 users predict this - 89.68%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.89% – 94.47%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Premier League).
Nottingham has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Norwich has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (85%).
Recent matches Nottingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Norwich is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Norwich is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
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