The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 50.3%
Draw 28.9%
Nottingham Forest 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
22.9%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
13.9%
2.8%
Watford - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Users Predictions:
Watford will win
(30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs) and 16).
Watford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (65%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Nottingham has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watford is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Nottingham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Watford is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.