Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Orange County SC		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.06	3.74	3.43
	2.10	3.56	3.12	Watch
	2.14	3.35	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
44.7%

Draw
26.4%

Indy Eleven
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Orange County SC - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 19. Partida K. 4. Benalcazar N. 20. Latinovich V. 23. Doghman R. (C) 11. Jamison B. 6. Pinto M. 27. Kelly S. 14. Hegardt C. 10. Trager T. 9. Zubak E.	98. Sulte H. (G) 71. Zalinsky J. 30. Ofeimu B. 12. Schaefer B. 41. Musa J. 5. Murphy J. 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 9. Williams R. 27. Rendon B.
Substitutes
7. Dunbar C. 15. Espy T. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. Karam G. 26. Kone C. 33. Miles A. 18. Molina R. 8. Sylla O. 21. War M.	22. Amoh E. 3. Hogan P. 19. Kizza E. 2. O'Brien J. 31. Pruter L. (G) 32. Soumaoro B. 33. White H.
Coaches
Stone D.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Latinovich V. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Williams R. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
45+3', Williams R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Blake J. 🟨,
67', Murphy J. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
69', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
69', Partida K. ↓, War M. ↑,
72', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
80', Latinovich V. 🟨,
81', Hegardt C. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
85', Musa J. ↓, White H. ↑,
85', Williams R. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
90', Jamison B. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
90', Zubak E. ↓, Kone C. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Sylla O. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Orange County SC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
18.10.25	Orange County SC - Louisville City	0:0 ✺
15.10.25	Orange County SC - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
01.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTL
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
18.10.25	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.06.24	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	0:1
15.04.23	Orange County SC - Indy Eleven	1:0
24.04.22	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	3:1

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