Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.63	3.5	4.6
	1.57	3.95	5.2
	1.57	3.99	4.7
	1.56	3.98	5.07	Watch
	1.57	3.78	5.52
	1.57	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.46)	3.81 ↓ (3.91)	4.97 ↓ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
57.6%

Draw
24%

Amorebieta
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ourense CF - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guillen P. (G) 2. Andrada F. 19. Rodriguez M. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Prada R. 8. Ramos J. 6. Fidalgo A. 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 5. Amelibia J. 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 17. Munoz I. 16. Masllorens J. 12. Sola J. 11. Hervias P. 8. Vicandi A.
Substitutes
18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 26. Fernandez G. 11. Gil A. 16. Juanma Bravo 5. Prado M. 20. Sanchez A. 3. Sanz H. 12. Teijo E. 23. Xesc Fullana	14. Ben Hamed N. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 18. Coulibaly A. 21. Marin A. 25. Montoya J. (G) 7. Selma D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Hervias P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sanz H. ↑,
46', Prada R. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
46', Vicandi A. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
65', Kortazar M. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
65', Raigal J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
68', Masllorens J. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Coulibaly A. ⚽,
77', Hervias P. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
77', Ramos J. ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
79', Gil A. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Marin A. ⚽,
86', Sola J. ↓, Berto ↑,
86', Munoz I. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,
89', Coto E. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Amorebieta is Relegated to

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ourense CF is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Tarazona - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	Ourense CF - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTLT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.05.25	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo B	4:3 ✺
03.05.25	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Barcelona B - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Amorebieta - Zamora	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	2:0

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