The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 52.8%
Draw 25.7%
Rochdale 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
24.2%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
14.7%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.4%
12.8%
29.8%
Oxford United - Rochdale Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 27 - 57.4%). Rochdale will win (votes: 14 - 29.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 43.3% – 71.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
No spectators.
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 14).
Oxford has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rochdale has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oxford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.
In this match Oxford is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Oxford won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
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