Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Palermo		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.65	3.55	5.15	Watch
	1.77	3.68	5.09
	1.71	3.51	5.13	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.56	5.33	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.58 ↓ (3.78)	5.21 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
55.9%

Draw
26.2%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Palermo - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 29. Peda P. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 21. Le Douaron J. 5. Palumbo A. 20. Pohjanpalo J.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 3. Bordon F. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 26. Frigerio M. R. 17. Casiraghi D. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 11. Gyasi E. 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 18. Modesto R. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.	1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 22. Cragno A. (G) 89. Crnigoj D. 23. Davi F. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 13. Sabatini C. 11. Tonin R. 18. Tronchin S. 99. Verdi S. 7. Zedadka K.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 0, Le Douaron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
54', Frigerio M. R. 🟨,
54', Bani M. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
65', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
65', Pierozzi N. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
65', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
65', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
66', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
78', Veseli F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
81', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
81', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
82', Casiraghi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
90+4', Tonin R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Kofler R. (Yellow Cards) Martini J. (Injury) Masiello A. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)

We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sampdoria - Palermo	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bari - Palermo	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Modena - Palermo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Monza	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.09.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	0:2
01.05.25	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2
30.09.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:3
10.05.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	0:1
01.10.23	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1
25.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:1
01.10.22	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1

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