Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	RTL
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Paris Saint-Germain		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.77	3.6	4.75
	1.8	3.6	5	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.9
	1.81	3.49	5.28
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.76	3.66	5.3
	1.78	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)	3.6 ↓ (4.12)	5.02 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
54.2%

Draw
26.6%

Real Sociedad
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

23%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	2.9%	4%

Paris Saint Germain - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (161 of 173 users predict this - 93.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.27% – 96.85%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 15. Pereira D. 35. Beraldo L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 8. Ruiz F. 17. Vitinha 10. Dembele O. 7. Mbappe K. 29. Barcola B.	1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 25. Galan J. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. (C) 14. Kubo T. 21. Andre Silva 7. Barrenetxea A.
Substitutes
11. Asensio M. 21. Hernandez L. 23. Kolo Muani R. 41. Mayulu S. 38. Mbappe E. 26. Mukiele N. 1. Navas K. (G) 9. Ramos G. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G) 4. Ugarte M.	42. Aramburu J. 37. Fraga A. (G) 15. Gonzalez U. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 29. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B. 12. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Enrique L.	Alguacil I.

Preview

1st leg.

PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PSG is a favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Kurzawa L. (Back Injury) Mendes N. (Muscle Injury) Rico S. (Head Injury) Skriniar M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Becker S. (Muscle Injury) Elustondo A. (Yellow Cards) Fernandez C. (Knee Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Munoz A. (Knee Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Tierney K. (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
10.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.02.24	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Orleans - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
10.02.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.24	Girona - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
23.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTTW

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