Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Plymouth Argyle		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4.33
	1.8	3.6	4.25
	1.8	3.75	4.3
	1.77	3.68	3.93
	1.83	3.88	4.27
	1.78	3.8	4.33
	1.84	3.86	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)	3.8 ↑ (3.73)	4.27 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
52.8%

Draw
25%

Grimsby Town
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

15%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	7.9%	21.1%

Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 27 - 71.1%). Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 56.7% – 85.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Two
29.02.20	Bradford City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
22.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
18.02.20	Macclesfield Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
15.02.20	Plymouth Argyle - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Salford City - Plymouth Argyle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTWW
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
29.02.20	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	0:3 ✺
25.02.20	Grimsby Town - Newport County	4:2 ✺
22.02.20	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
15.02.20	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
11.02.20	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.17	Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town	1:0
English League Two
06.05.17	Grimsby Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
19.11.16	Plymouth Argyle - Grimsby Town	0:3

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