Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5.25
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.65	3.8	5.5
	1.76	3.74	5
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.69	3.82	4.9	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	5.01 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
56.1%

Draw
25.1%

Accrington Stanley
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Portsmouth - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Portsmouth has the most likely position - 9 (74.18%), project points - 70, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Accrington has the most likely position - 23 (49.11%), project points - 41, currently - 38, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 13, small importance 16, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Accrington is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 6 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
18.04.23	Oxford United - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Portsmouth - Morecambe	0:0 ✺
07.04.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Portsmouth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTTW
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
18.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town	2:5 ✺
10.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
25.03.23	Exeter City - Accrington Stanley	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Portsmouth	1:3
05.03.22	Portsmouth - Accrington Stanley	4:0
23.10.21	Accrington Stanley - Portsmouth	2:2
09.05.21	Portsmouth - Accrington Stanley	0:1
27.04.21	Accrington Stanley - Portsmouth	3:3
14.12.19	Accrington Stanley - Portsmouth	4:1
04.05.19	Portsmouth - Accrington Stanley	1:1

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