Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:45	ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	21:45	Ictimai TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:45	Wowow Live
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:45	Fox Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV5
Romania	19:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 3
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	12:45	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Roma		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.5	4.2
	1.94	3.41	4.5
	1.91	3.38	4.67	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4.2
	1.88	3.51	4.66
	1.95	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.01)	3.43 ↓ (3.79)	4.39 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roma
50.2%

Draw
28%

Porto
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

26%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	14.3%	9.2%

Roma - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 97 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 74 - 76.3%). Porto will win (votes: 9 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 67.8% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 92. El Shaarawy S. 17. Kone M. 16. Paredes L. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 14. Shomurodov E.	99. Costa D. (C) 3. Djalo T. 24. Perez N. 4. Otavio 23. Joao Mario 6. Eustaquio S. 22. Varela A. 74. Moura F. 11. Pepê 9. Samu 10. Vieira F.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 70. De Marzi G. (G) 95. Gollini P. (G) 15. Hummels M. 25. Nelsson V. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 18. Soule M.	70. Borges G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 20. Franco A. 27. Gul D. 5. Marcano I. 86. Mora R. 97. Pedro J. 25. Perez T. 94. Portugal S. (G) 7. William Gomes 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', Otavio 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
29', Dybala P. 🟨,
34', Perez N. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Dybala P. ⚽, Shomurodov E. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Dybala P. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
41', Djalo T. 🟨,
42', Anselmi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Eustaquio S. 🟥,
51', Paredes L. 🟨,
56', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
66', Otavio ↓, Mora R. ↑,
78', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
78', Shomurodov E. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
82', Varela A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
82', Vieira F. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
82', Moura F. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Angelino (A),
87', Perez T. 🟨,
87', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
87', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
90+3', William Gomes 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Rensch D. (Own goal),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Syracuse won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Syracuse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Syracuse have a series of guest games.

Recently Toronto have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Syracuse won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 65:56 (average 3.3:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Syracuse won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:32 (average 3.2:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Porto - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Venezia - Roma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Roma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLT
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
16.02.25	Farense - Porto	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Porto - Roma	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.02.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Rio Ave - Porto	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Porto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Porto - Roma	1:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Porto - Roma	1:1
UEFA Champions League
06.03.19	Porto - Roma	3:1 ET
12.02.19	Roma - Porto	2:1
23.08.16	Roma - Porto	0:3
17.08.16	Porto - Roma	1:1

Upcoming Matches