The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 40%
Draw 26.9%
Werder Bremen 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
26.5%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
26.2%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.6%
29.4%
50%
Schalke 04 - Werder Bremen Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Werder will win (votes: 17 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 33.2% โ 66.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (45.13%), project points - 28, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (80%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Werder has the most likely position - 12 (38.06%), project points - 40, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality61, small importance27, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
Schalke is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Werder is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E.
(Knee Injury)
Brunner C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Fahrmann R.
(Groin Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Skarke T.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Knee Injury)
Fullkrug N.
(Calf Injury)
Hilssner M.
(Knee Injury)
Veljkovic M.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Werder: Ducksch M.
(Illness)
Schmidt N.
(Illness)
Last 25 head-to-head matches Schalke won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 34-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-22.
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