The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 21.7%
Draw 24.5%
RB Leipzig 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
23.3%
57.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
22.1%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
7.6%
65.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk - RB Leipzig Predictions
Users Predictions:
105 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 28 - 26.7%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 69 - 65.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 7.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 56.6% – 74.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium.
Shakhtar has currently - 6, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a good chance of 3rd (74%), has a chance of round of 16 (26%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
RB Leipzig has currently - 9, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a good chance of 2nd (56%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality68, very big importance100, big match rating84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Shakhtar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
RB Leipzig is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
There will not play in Shakhtar: Konoplya Y.
(Injury)
Korniienko V.
(Knee Injury)
Shved M.
(Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gulacsi P.
(Knee Injury)
Klostermann L.
(Ankle Injury)
Laimer K.
(Ankle Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Shakhtar: Ocheretko O.
(Injury)
Zubkov O.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Haidara A.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.