Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Spartak Kostroma		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.51	3.39	2.87	Watch
	2.12	3.14	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
39.9%

Draw
28.3%

Chelyabinsk
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 4.

Spartak Kostroma has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chelyabinsk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Kostroma has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 2.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak Kostroma against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

S. Kostroma: 0.84% Chelyabinsk: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelyabinsk - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
09.10.26	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ural	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Ryazan - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
09.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk	2:4 ✺
26.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.26	Dynamo Barnaul - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1
07.03.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:3
17.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:5
30.03.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	3:1
12.10.24	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	0:0
17.08.24	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:1

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