Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sturm Graz		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.7	3.9	2
	3.35	3.7	2.08
	3.49	3.73	2.11
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.54	3.84	2.03
	3.4	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	3.74 ↓ (3.76)	2.07 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
27.9%

Draw
25.6%

Feyenoord
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.1%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.9%	15.9%	68.2%

Sturm Graz - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 14 - 15.9%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 60 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 58.5% – 77.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sturm has a chance of knockout phase (33%), has a chance of round of 16 (18%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 5, has a small chance of 1st (13%), has a chance of 2nd (19%), has a chance of 3rd (30%).

Feyenoord has a good chance of knockout phase (68%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 5, has a chance of 1st (41%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (21%).

This event has quality 63, very big importance 100, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Feyenoord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Feyenoord will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Demaku V. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Idrissi O. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Sarkaria M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
22.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
19.10.22	Grazer AK - Sturm Graz	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.10.22	Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Lazio - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.10.22	Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWTW
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
22.10.22	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Feyenoord - Midtjylland	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.10.22	Feyenoord - Twente	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.10.22	Midtjylland - Feyenoord	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Feyenoord - Sturm Graz	6:0

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